主题： Uncompromising sentiments of the Chinese military regarding
Uncompromising sentiments of the Chinese military regarding 2011-07-22 12:38 #1
Uncompromising sentiments of the Chinese military regarding S. China Sea.
Below is a quote from an article from a Chinese forum at the following link. It is about what Naval Major General Zhang Zhao Zhong is concerned about in the S. China Sea. I happen to agree with the general's sentiments. So I have posted it below with my translation. I hope the Chinese government will listen to his concerns. The situation is much more serious than the Chinese government seem to think. I much fear that the Chinese government think it can minimize the problem and make it all go away so that the government can go back to taking care of the economy. This is trivializing a very serious situation. Once China has been probed and found to be soft and easily intimidated then many more problems will follow. I had predicted that if China did not respond vigorously to the intimidation of the naval exercises then many other countries will intrude themselves. And sure enough after the Chinese government stupidly declared that it will not use force, the US, Japan, India, and Australia and even UK have quickly jumped in to grab a share of the oil loot in the S. China Sea. Instead of reducing tension China's weak and timid response has increased the aggressiveness and increased the danger of the S. China Sea.
Realistically speaking, China's economy will not be affected by much if at all by war in the S. China Sea. Fighting Vietnam on the sea is not the same as fighting it on the land. To occupy Vietnam will require millions of Chinese lives and trillions of dollars equivalent of military expenses. But to fight Vietnam on the sea all it requires is maybe a few dozen fighters and a few hundred missiles that all together will not cost more than 20 billion yuan if that much. Compared to China's 43 trillion yuan GDP this is just a drop in the bucket. As to China foreign trade, the ASEAN countries need to trade more with China than China need to trade with them. Therefore, China's foreign trade will not decrease because of war. But China's foreign trade must decline anyway because of the economic troubles around the world especially in the US and Japan. And China must reduce its foreign trade so that its domestic economy can expand to urbanize its billion plus farmers or rural residents.
so I hope the Chinese government will listen to General Zhang and make the correct national policy and avoid being condemned by the Chinese history for ten thousand years.